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Red46
598525.7
313218.0
481713.7
Blue45
713025.3
652012.9
477421.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060801001204645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
15.916.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End6.9
red by 0.4
25.30.8
12.613.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End8.2
Second
3132
#18
18.00.4
15.115.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.0
blue by 3.0
21.00.8
13.414.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End7.0
Third
4817
#24
13.70.4
11.311.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End3.8
red by 0.8
6520
#17
12.90.8
11.912.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed