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Red58
643419.3
388112.1
477421.0
Blue49
608318.1
752714.9
698622.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4959304070805849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.1
19.820.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End7.0
blue by 1.4
22.40.7
22.521.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End6.9
Second
19.31.2
18.419.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 1.2
6083
#33
18.10.7
19.618.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
3881
#28
12.11.1
8.69.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 2.8
7527
#14
14.90.7
14.213.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsMissed