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Red45
763215.2
388112.1
698622.4
Blue55
758314.9
716314.2
313218.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504520304060704555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
21.821.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End6.9
red by 4.4
3132
#18
18.00.4
15.716.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Second
7632
#21
15.20.5
15.715.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
red by 0.3
7583
#22
14.90.3
12.813.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Third
3881
#28
12.10.5
9.79.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 2.1
7163
#31
14.20.4
13.814.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed