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Red72
763610.8
713025.3
313218.0
Blue71
651022.4
657919.8
425319.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5160304070807271

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.9
23.625.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End8.2
red by 2.9
22.41.2
21.422.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End7.0
Second
3132
#18
18.02.1
16.118.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.0
blue by 1.8
6579
#13
19.81.2
17.919.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Third
7636
#25
10.82.1
8.710.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 8.7
4253
#20
19.51.2
17.118.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned