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Red48
605012.4
716314.2
698622.4
Blue45
759313.7
712815.8
727810.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51391020306070804845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.0
21.321.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End6.9
red by 6.6
7128
#34
15.80.7
15.115.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Second
7163
#31
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.6
red by 0.5
7593
#27
13.70.7
11.812.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Third
6050
#16
12.40.0
12.612.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 1.9
7278
#37
10.50.7
9.810.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed