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Red58
651022.4
713025.3
605012.4
Blue67
545121.5
698622.4
759313.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080905867

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
25.525.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End8.2
red by 2.9
22.40.3
21.421.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End6.9
Second
22.40.1
22.522.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End7.0
red by 0.9
21.50.3
20.520.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End6.9
Third
6050
#16
12.40.1
12.512.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 1.3
7593
#27
13.70.3
12.612.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0