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Red30
587614.8
755113.4
714611.1
Blue29
652015.2
47298.6
48023.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36310501001502003029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
#23
14.80.5
11.711.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End4.9
blue by 0.5
6520
#34
15.20.0
12.912.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Second
7551
#36
13.43.8
13.49.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 4.8
4729
#62
8.60.0
12.312.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Third
7146
#18
11.10.5
12.311.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End2.8
red by 7.5
4802
#40
3.60.0
3.83.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed