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Red69
587614.8
784412.7
698623.2
Blue41
551613.8
760112.3
606313.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4938203060706941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
22.723.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End8.7
red by 9.4
5516
#42
13.80.3
13.814.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Second
5876
#23
14.80.8
12.913.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End4.9
red by 1.4
6063
#32
13.30.5
10.811.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End3.1
Third
7844
#38
12.70.8
10.911.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End3.6
red by 0.4
7601
#53
12.30.5
11.712.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed