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Red57
598811.1
533316.6
650822.3
Blue52
774118.5
453715.5
647614.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484625303540505560655752

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.3
19.821.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.4
End8.1
red by 3.8
7741
#21
18.51.0
15.516.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Second
5333
#26
16.61.3
14.215.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End2.6
red by 1.1
4537
#47
15.51.0
15.516.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Third
5988
#24
11.11.3
11.412.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End4.8
blue by 3.5
6476
#33
14.61.0
12.213.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed