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Red48
77077.8
698623.2
771910.3
Blue52
477420.0
759316.1
714611.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4050203060704852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
23.223.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End8.7
red by 3.3
4774
#15
20.00.1
19.419.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
Second
7719
#54
10.30.6
9.19.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 5.9
7593
#35
16.10.1
16.116.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Third
7707
#44
7.81.1
5.97.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End3.3
blue by 3.3
7146
#18
11.10.1
12.212.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsEarned