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Red53
774118.5
698623.2
788411.7
Blue54
313223.9
558417.8
643210.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575230406070805354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.0
23.923.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End8.7
blue by 0.6
23.90.3
22.923.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
7741
#21
18.50.1
18.118.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End4.0
red by 0.7
5584
#30
17.80.5
16.316.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Third
7884
#48
11.70.1
11.811.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
red by 1.6
6432
#20
10.10.5
9.610.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed