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Red56
461410.5
566318.8
699614.9
Blue28
714611.1
552211.4
603510.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443920305060705628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5663
#16
18.81.5
18.319.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.3
red by 7.3
5522
#52
11.41.2
12.711.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Second
6996
#37
14.90.9
14.215.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End2.3
red by 3.8
7146
#18
11.11.2
12.311.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End2.8
Third
4614
#10
10.51.5
9.410.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End3.2
red by 0.2
6035
#56
10.21.3
11.510.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed