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Red40
477420.0
533316.6
551613.8
Blue47
638615.6
643210.1
427018.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50411020306070804047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#15
20.00.5
21.020.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
red by 1.9
4270
#12
18.10.9
12.913.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.7
Second
5333
#26
16.60.8
11.811.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End2.6
red by 0.9
6386
#13
15.60.9
13.214.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End7.2
Third
5516
#42
13.80.5
14.514.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 3.7
6432
#20
10.10.9
12.713.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned