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Red77
84222.8
323021.2
647418.2
Blue80
240320.8
456521.4
6017.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6460405070807780

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#8
22.80.5
22.422.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End5.0
red by 1.4
4565
#11
21.40.6
20.521.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Second
21.20.4
20.821.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End8.8
red by 0.4
2403
#19
20.80.6
19.920.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.1
Third
6474
#31
18.20.4
17.818.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 0.7
60
#33
17.50.7
16.517.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2