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Red34
6017.5
240320.8
162216.7
Blue58
682417.5
189114.6
300919.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5041102030607080903458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#19
20.81.5
16.414.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.1
red by 1.6
3009
#38
19.22.2
12.114.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
60
#33
17.51.5
14.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 0.1
6824
#13
17.52.2
15.117.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.9
Third
1622
#50
16.71.0
16.915.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.8
red by 2.1
1891
#17
14.62.2
11.313.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed