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Red33
692211.2
323021.2
789711.3
Blue50
456521.4
55398.1
742624.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394402060803350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.5
19.619.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End8.8
blue by 3.3
7426
#10
24.50.4
18.819.2
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
Second
7897
#30Sur
11.30.5
7.06.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 10.2
4565
#11
21.40.6
11.912.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Third
6922
#37
11.20.5
10.510.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End3.3
red by 3.1
5539
#35Sur
8.10.6
10.911.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed