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Red27
284010.9
9967.8
6017.5
Blue58
10119.6
318712.7
414614.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36452030405060702758

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#33
17.50.8
13.512.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 3.5
4146
#27
14.10.4
13.513.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End2.5
Second
2840
#51
10.90.8
9.68.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End3.0
blue by 1.9
3187
#41
12.70.4
13.813.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.5
Third
996
#40
7.80.8
10.910.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 1.8
1011
#48
9.60.4
14.914.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed