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Red44
323021.2
240320.8
51336.5
Blue24
65468.1
567813.5
35779.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4136203050604424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.5
17.518.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End8.8
red by 7.7
5678
#47
13.51.1
12.211.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Second
2403
#19
20.80.5
13.814.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.1
red by 11.9
3577
#28
9.01.1
10.69.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Third
5133
#46
6.50.3
7.98.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End2.1
blue by 1.6
6546
#42
8.11.1
11.610.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed