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Red41
55398.1
647418.2
667411.7
Blue24
313311.8
116511.2
9967.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035203050604124

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#31
18.20.3
14.815.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 6.4
3133
#34
11.81.0
12.411.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Second
6674
#16
11.70.3
13.013.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End3.8
red by 0.6
1165
#52
11.21.0
12.211.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Third
5539
#35
8.10.3
10.510.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.4
End3.1
red by 0.3
996
#40
7.81.0
8.97.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed