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Red45
113821.6
61278.8
67017.3
Blue32
189114.6
687115.5
665612.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394202060801004532

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#12
21.60.5
17.317.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End5.8
red by 6.1
6871
#21
15.51.5
14.913.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Second
670
#18
17.30.5
11.712.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 2.7
1891
#17
14.61.5
13.211.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Third
6127
#36
8.80.5
8.18.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 3.6
6656
#23
12.41.5
11.49.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed