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Red71
414614.1
742624.5
665612.4
Blue52
300919.2
240320.8
549615.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435002060807152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#10
24.51.8
20.522.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
red by 3.6
2403
#19
20.80.5
16.216.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.1
Second
4146
#27
14.12.8
10.613.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End2.5
blue by 5.1
3009
#38
19.20.5
17.918.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Third
6656
#23
12.42.8
9.912.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 3.3
5496
#22
15.70.5
12.813.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed