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Red70
84222.8
67017.3
240320.8
Blue46
99113.9
789711.3
318712.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553410203040506070807046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#8
22.81.9
20.922.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End5.0
red by 8.8
991
#43
13.90.5
13.513.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.3
Second
2403
#19
20.81.8
16.718.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.1
red by 8.1
3187
#41
12.70.4
11.311.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.5
Third
670
#18
17.31.8
14.215.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 6.1
7897
#30
11.30.4
7.88.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsEarned