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Red41
682110.7
84222.8
667411.7
Blue44
9967.8
323021.2
61278.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493720306070804144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#8
22.80.5
22.722.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End5.0
red by 1.6
21.20.8
19.920.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End8.8
Second
6674
#16
11.70.5
12.211.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End3.8
red by 3.0
6127
#36
8.80.8
8.08.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
6821
#45
10.70.5
11.210.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End2.0
red by 2.9
996
#40
7.80.8
7.07.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned