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Red40
742624.5
682110.7
35779.0
Blue18
99113.9
313311.8
51336.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473401020406070804018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#10
24.50.5
20.019.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
red by 10.5
991
#43
13.91.5
13.812.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.3
Second
6821
#45DQ
10.70.8
11.911.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End2.0
blue by 1.1
3133
#34
11.81.5
10.28.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Third
3577
#28
9.00.8
12.311.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.6
red by 2.5
5133
#46
6.51.2
7.76.5
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed