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Red65
456525.1
166222.5
264714.2
Blue70
44969.9
754710.9
394416.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593102040801006570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#18
25.10.6
24.525.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End3.8
red by 8.8
3944
#31
16.41.1
13.014.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
22.50.6
17.818.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End6.6
red by 11.6
7547
#17
10.90.7
7.68.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.6
Third
2647
#30
14.20.6
13.313.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
red by 4.3
4496
#38
9.91.1
8.79.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed