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Red30
683319.3
701713.0
385310.3
Blue19
129010.6
69810.6
266217.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364002060803019

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#13
19.30.3
14.113.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End4.1
red by 1.9
2662
#24
17.42.1
13.010.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
7017
#16
13.00.4
12.912.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End4.6
red by 2.4
1290
#22
10.62.1
12.09.9
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Third
3853
#35
10.30.3
7.06.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 0.3
698
#39
10.62.1
13.311.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed