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Red47
754710.9
414616.7
240325.8
Blue23
54658.0
653012.5
121218.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494020306070804723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.0
22.522.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End6.6
red by 6.9
18.91.7
14.813.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End4.5
Second
4146
#25
16.70.0
15.715.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.6
red by 4.1
6530
#36
12.51.7
13.011.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Third
7547
#17
10.90.0
8.28.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.6
red by 2.9
5465
#40
8.01.7
10.48.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed