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Red52
647922.1
129010.6
665613.6
Blue46
35779.5
667416.7
166222.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41412530354550555246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.5
15.617.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
blue by 0.4
22.50.5
18.919.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End6.6
Second
6656
#20
13.60.9
12.913.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.4
blue by 3.1
6674
#15
16.70.5
12.512.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
1290
#22
10.61.5
10.211.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 1.2
3577
#33
9.50.5
7.78.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsMissed