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Red47
54658.0
414616.7
284015.3
Blue40
264714.2
318715.0
44969.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020253035455055604740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#25
16.70.5
16.817.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.6
red by 1.6
3187
#21
15.00.1
13.914.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Second
2840
#11
15.30.5
13.514.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.0
red by 1.1
2647
#30
14.20.1
14.014.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Third
5465
#40
8.00.9
8.79.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
4496
#38
9.90.2
10.010.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed