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Red58
418326.7
284015.3
266217.4
Blue43
754710.9
313313.2
770318.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5938102030507080905843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
25.325.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End8.5
red by 8.7
7703
#37
18.00.7
14.114.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End3.1
Second
2662
#24
17.40.2
16.316.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 4.2
3133
#26
13.20.5
12.412.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Third
2840
#11
15.30.2
14.014.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.0
red by 4.4
7547
#17
10.90.5
9.610.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed