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Red36
301920.2
264714.2
775514.0
Blue28
16336.4
647922.1
54658.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350102030406070803628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.7
18.117.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 1.8
22.10.8
17.817.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Second
2647
#30
14.20.7
14.113.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
red by 6.3
5465
#40
8.00.8
9.08.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Third
7755
#10
14.01.1
14.012.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End5.1
red by 7.7
1633
#41
6.40.8
6.25.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed