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Red69
247835.4
41116.9
121218.9
Blue53
266217.4
414616.7
775514.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533902060801006953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.7
27.027.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.0
End8.6
red by 18.0
2662
#24
17.41.8
12.614.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
18.91.0
12.413.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End4.5
red by 2.2
4146
#25
16.71.3
14.115.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Third
4111
#28
6.91.0
10.911.8
Auto4.5
Teleop0.4
End2.1
blue by 7.1
7755
#10
14.02.2
14.011.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed