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Red20
41116.9
388913.7
64133.9
Blue42
69810.6
721413.1
284015.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2839102050602042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3889
#27
13.70.6
14.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.4
blue by 1.6
2840
#11
15.30.4
13.714.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Second
4111
#28
6.90.5
7.26.7
Auto4.5
Teleop0.4
End2.1
blue by 6.2
7214
#29
13.10.4
13.614.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Third
6413
#42
3.90.4
4.94.5
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
blue by 6.7
698
#39
10.60.5
9.29.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed