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Red68
667416.7
414616.7
69810.6
Blue33
653012.5
721413.1
16336.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4335102030506070806833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6674
#15
16.70.8
15.816.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
red by 3.6
7214
#29
13.10.0
14.014.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Second
4146
#25
16.70.8
15.616.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.6
red by 4.1
6530
#36
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Third
698
#39
10.61.0
9.710.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.1
End1.8
red by 4.2
1633
#41
6.40.0
6.46.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed