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Red49
240325.8
665613.6
701713.0
Blue19
388913.7
69810.6
754710.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4935204060804919

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
22.322.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End6.6
red by 12.1
3889
#27
13.71.6
9.68.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Second
6656
#20
13.60.2
11.111.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.4
red by 2.7
7547
#17
10.91.0
8.67.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.6
Third
7017
#16
13.00.3
12.512.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End4.6
red by 2.4
698
#39
10.61.6
14.913.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed