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Red46
64137.8
388911.9
240328.5
Blue73
414612.8
237511.7
248621.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475201001502004673

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.1
26.126.0
Auto4.5
Teleop15.4
End8.6
red by 7.1
2486
#6Sur
21.40.2
20.720.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Second
3889
#24
11.90.1
12.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.6
blue by 0.9
4146
#10
12.80.2
15.715.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Third
6413
#26Sur
7.80.1
6.36.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End1.1
blue by 3.9
2375
#17
11.70.2
13.112.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed