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Red70
6014.7
418322.0
41112.5
Blue45
388911.9
121216.0
301915.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454801001502007045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.2
22.323.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End7.4
red by 5.9
1212
#20
16.00.1
15.615.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Second
60
#22
14.71.2
15.016.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 0.6
3019
#27
15.30.1
19.219.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Third
4111
#28
2.51.2
5.06.3
Auto3.8
Teleop-2.5
End1.3
blue by 9.4
3889
#24
11.90.1
11.010.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed