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Red40
78977.7
149219.2
301915.3
Blue59
64137.8
24499.8
248621.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46381020305060704059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#16
19.20.3
19.118.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 2.3
21.40.7
21.422.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Second
3019
#27
15.30.3
18.117.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 5.5
2449
#23
9.80.7
9.910.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Third
7897
#29
7.70.3
6.86.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 0.1
6413
#26
7.80.7
4.95.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed