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Red74
414612.8
647925.3
149219.2
Blue67
456522.0
301915.3
418322.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647301001502002503003507467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.2
24.924.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End7.9
red by 3.3
22.00.2
24.424.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End7.4
Second
1492
#16
19.20.2
19.018.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 2.8
4565
#12
22.00.2
24.624.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Third
4146
#10
12.80.2
16.716.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 2.5
3019
#27
15.30.2
20.220.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned73%HAB Docking oddsEarned