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Red60
75479.2
84227.8
248621.4
Blue30
64137.8
775512.4
121216.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68412060801006030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#5
27.80.5
32.431.9
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End5.0
red by 11.7
1212
#20
16.00.6
17.416.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Second
21.40.5
21.220.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.4
red by 9.0
7755
#18
12.40.6
14.513.9
Auto5.2
Teleop2.9
End4.3
Third
9.20.5
10.610.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.6
End3.8
red by 1.4
6413
#26
7.80.6
6.96.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed