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Red40
173514.0
105817.4
18120.0
Blue46
287714.9
346720.3
503015.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66690501001502004046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#21
20.01.5
20.919.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End5.5
blue by 0.3
3467
#19
20.31.3
17.816.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End5.5
Second
1058
#41
17.41.5
23.421.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.9
red by 1.5
5030
#43
15.91.3
22.220.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
1735
#35
14.01.5
18.116.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.3
blue by 0.8
2877
#52
14.99.3
14.924.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed