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Red38
199114.1
55511.6
490923.1
Blue68
362310.8
346122.4
712719.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040507080901003868

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#23
23.11.6
25.523.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End6.6
red by 0.7
3461
#22
22.40.3
24.625.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Second
1991
#53
14.11.6
19.818.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End4.5
blue by 5.6
7127
#12
19.70.3
25.225.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End7.2
Third
555
#39
11.61.6
16.214.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
red by 0.8
3623
#38
10.80.3
10.110.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsMissed82%HAB Docking oddsEarned