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Red56
13813.0
147426.2
107314.2
Blue39
503015.9
105817.4
746216.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67622040801001205639

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
28.327.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End6.0
red by 8.8
1058
#41
17.41.3
21.920.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Second
1073
#20
14.20.5
21.621.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End4.3
blue by 2.1
7462
#27
16.31.3
15.914.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Third
138
#34
13.00.5
13.212.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 2.9
5030
#43
15.91.3
20.919.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed