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Red52
632817.4
17513.5
16620.1
Blue99
13122.0
172925.3
490923.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627002040801001201401605299

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#49
20.10.4
21.421.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End4.1
blue by 5.2
25.32.2
24.026.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.2
End7.4
Second
6328
#29
17.40.4
15.815.4
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End2.6
blue by 5.7
4909
#23
23.12.2
23.926.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Third
175
#54
13.50.4
21.120.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.5
blue by 8.5
131
#18
22.02.2
17.920.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned