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Red78
279130.9
33237.3
640113.6
Blue82
740723.8
456426.9
69429.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6383020401001207882

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
32.933.2
Auto4.5
Teleop21.7
End4.6
red by 1.8
694
#10
29.10.2
30.230.1
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
6401
#30
13.60.3
16.216.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.4
blue by 13.4
4564
#14
26.90.2
24.924.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End10.0
Third
3323
#33
7.30.3
10.811.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
blue by 16.5
7407
#15
23.80.2
23.523.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
33%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned88%HAB Docking oddsEarned