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Red45
71538.4
105817.4
15713.3
Blue60
33237.3
409713.8
632817.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060801004560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#41
17.40.7
20.119.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 0.1
6328
#29
17.41.4
16.417.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End2.6
Second
157
#31
13.30.7
17.416.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 0.5
4097
#42
13.81.4
11.913.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End4.0
Third
7153
#46
8.40.7
8.47.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 1.1
3323
#33
7.31.4
9.911.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed