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Red75
105817.4
371917.2
69429.1
Blue72
19525.6
271215.2
216832.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7189204060801001201407572

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#10
29.10.5
30.731.2
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
blue by 3.4
32.50.8
34.834.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.7
End4.7
Second
1058
#41
17.40.5
19.419.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 8.3
195
#9
25.60.8
32.031.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End4.8
Third
3719
#28
17.20.5
17.417.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End5.0
red by 1.9
2712
#37
15.20.8
17.516.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsMissed70%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned