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Red42
409713.8
417612.8
55511.6
Blue68
13813.0
18120.0
490923.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4265020801001204268

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4097
#42
13.80.3
13.313.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End4.0
blue by 9.3
4909
#23
23.10.4
26.226.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Second
4176
#48
12.80.3
12.612.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End1.0
blue by 7.2
181
#21
20.00.4
21.321.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End5.5
Third
555
#39
11.60.3
14.213.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 1.4
138
#34
13.00.4
14.114.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed92%HAB Docking oddsEarned