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Red70
581317.6
216832.5
110018.2
Blue55
346122.4
271215.2
33237.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7758020401001207055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.2
34.033.8
Auto5.1
Teleop22.7
End4.7
red by 10.1
3461
#22
22.40.2
26.526.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Second
18.20.2
22.021.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End5.8
red by 2.9
2712
#37
15.20.2
16.716.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Third
5813
#11
17.60.2
16.716.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.0
End5.7
red by 10.3
3323
#33
7.30.2
11.711.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
52%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsMissed