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Red73
46716.1
555617.6
50114.5
Blue72
287714.9
69429.1
632817.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54730204060801001207372

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5556
#25
17.61.5
15.416.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
blue by 11.5
694
#10
29.10.5
31.230.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
467
#13
16.11.5
15.316.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 1.4
6328
#29
17.40.5
19.018.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End2.6
Third
501
#26
14.51.5
20.622.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 0.3
2877
#52
14.90.5
19.318.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsEarned